Thursday, March 24, 2016

Wake up, Cruz and Kasich _ the GOP convention will never nominate you | The Reporter25

Let's imagine for a moment that Donald Trump will not be the Republican candidate for President. There are three ways this fantasy and it's likely to nothing more than a fantasy becomes a reality.

Wake-up-Cruz-and-Kasich-the-GOP-convention

One is that something Trump does is so outrageous and disgusting that knocks him out of the race and by default Ted Cruz becomes the candidate. (You can stop laughing sadly now: I'm sure we all know now that's not going to happen.)

The second is that Ted Cruz wins 80% of delegates Republicans going forward, pass Trump and takes it on the first ballot at the Convention in July. At a time when no one seems to believe that this scenario is feasible even the field of Cruz, who doesn't mind talking.

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The third is that Trump does not ensure enough delegates to win on the first ballot and the GOP goes up in subsequent ballots to take her away from him and give the appointment to someone else.

This is possible. Actually, that's exactly what Cruz and John Kasich the candidate with a shot that is hosted in the same that he won the highest number of delegates on Tuesday night as to I did are counting on to propel them to the nomination.

Let's play the anti-Trump scenario out. Is July; the Convention is coming up in a few weeks. After the final primaries in California and New Jersey on June 7, Trump ends with -1.150 1.000 delegates short of 1237, he needs to secure a majority of the delegates.

Meanwhile, the poll shows that he would be crushed by Hillary Clinton.

In addition, State-by-State survey suggests that not only is Trump having the Hillary States, but she's on the right track to take States away from the GOP 2012 Take North Carolina, for example, and, potentially, Arizona (with its Hispanic voters registration 37%). A survey earlier this week suggested Clinton may even lead rock-ribbed Republican Utah if Trump is the candidate. (How are you going to Utah, so going to Idaho.)

The electoral advantage comfortable Obama in 2012 commands just to become an electoral landslide Hillary. That almost certainly means that the Senate would turn from Republican to democratic control, with a strong possibility that the House could turn to the Democrats as well.

So under these conditions, even the threat of chaos and violence on the part of Trumpkins that don't seem to understand the meaning of the phrase (most delegates) it would be a pity to test if in some way the GOP could settle on a candidate who could not win, but you can change the dynamics of catastrophic race.

This is the scenario and Kasich is waiting. And in the hope that they are talking themselves into oblivion.

Look, guys; If Trump does not receive enough delegates to win, why would a GOP let totally loose from the primary and caucus results and able to choose anyone as their candidate to resort to two candidates who have received even less delegates than Trump did?

Does it panic GOP potential candidate look Cross and predict a change your luck? Why would it be? Cruz has yet to demonstrate that he has a national electorate. Unfortunately for him, the movement that wanted to take the conservative white people who, according to a delusional unproven theory, They didn't show up to vote for Mitt Romney in 2012 by the millions and cost the GOP the election has a candidate; your name is Trump.

Will Kasich have a string? Yes, he does, people still weep when I hear (Eleanor Rigby) and its invocation (all the lonely people) and who want a hug, because your aunt Minnie has the tiles.

Why the GOP I think the chances of prevailing in November would be particularly enhanced by using any one of these guys instead of, say, Paul Ryan (that, at least, was the vice-presidential candidate on a ticket that earned 61 million votes) or even Mitt Romney (who was at the top of the ticket who obtained 61 million votes).

The logic is clear. the political rise of the cross in Washington came when he won by losing. That is, it got to be famous, opposed his own party, forcing a shutdown of the Government, not getting what he wanted, and stating that he and his followers had been screwed by establishment Republicans. He worked for him.

Won't work for him now. You cannot win the GOP nomination to lose.

Ted Cruz must stop playing per second, because if he comes in second he's not to going be the candidate. The only way he gets to grab the brass ring is to win final Trump.

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